Advances in Astronomy and Space Physics, Volume 2, Issue 1 (2012)

Parametric modeling of global TEC fields

A. S. Prokhorenkov1, V. Ya. Choliy1,2

1Taras Shevchenko National University of Kyiv, Glushkova ave., 4, 03127, Kyiv, Ukraine
2Main Astronomical Observatory of NAS of Ukraine, 27 Akademika Zabolotnoho St., 03680, Kyiv, Ukraine

Abstract
We applied the autoregressive moving average statistical modelling to analysis and forecasting of the global Total Electron Content maps. Autoregressive moving average is a parametric time series and fields modelling method, widely used in applied statistics. The methodology is applied to Total Electron Content modelling first-time. We present the new software and first results.

Keywords:
modeling and forecasting; instruments and techniques